AI will be 1000x smarter than humans soon
TLDR Summary:
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Urgent Need to Adapt: AI will surpass human intelligence within 5 years, necessitating immediate re-tooling and re-learning in our work processes.
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Exponential AI Growth: AI's growth rate is exponentially faster than Moore's law, making current systems and learning methods obsolete in the face of rapidly advancing technology.
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Lifelong Learning Paradigm: To stay competitive, individuals and organizations must embrace continuous learning, focusing on developing adaptable skills and leveraging AI tools to enhance productivity.
We have to move with urgency to re-tool and re-learn how we do almost everything we do at work. I’ll share some excerpts from a thoughtful, but simple article to explain why: Top AI Experts Predict Artificial Superintelligence in 3-5 years. Now What?
Then I’ll share some actionable recommendations we can do today to help.
AI will be smarter than the smartest humans within 5 years
Elon Musk, Sam Altman (head of OpenAI, creator of ChatGPT), and consensus among AI experts is that:
- In 3 years, AI will be able to write a novel as good as JK Rowling, discover new physics, invent new technology.
- In 5 years, AI will be smarter than even the smartest humans.
- It will be able to be autonomous, operate independently and do things like start companies, form relationships, launch products invest... without human involvement.
- It will self-improve rapidly.
Imagine AI able to do everything you do at work, but better and faster than you. By November 2026. Including personalizing the sales process for each client, answering all of the coaching the sellers on your team via a chat bot, and answering all of your client's questions through a chat interface.
This affects everyone. Especially white collar knowledge workers. Especially people in tech companies.
The growth rate is faster than an exponential curve
Moore's law chips double in capability every two years and is the reason why a $100 smartphone is more powerful than any computer from 1965. AI is growing at 10x per year which would mean moving from computers that fill up rooms to smartphones in a few years rather than a few decades
Today, AI is mostly trained on real data. On blog articles that people have written for example. Tomorrow, most will trained on synthetic data. On blog articles that AI has written for example.
That enables the rate of progress to accelerate at an order of magnitude faster.
AI with think and move 1000x times faster than us
Berkeley AI researcher explains that AI will move 100x - 1,000,000x faster than us over the next decade:
Neurons fire at ~1000 times/second at most, while computer chips "fire" a million times faster than that. Current AI has not been distilled to run maximally efficiently, but will almost certainly run 100x faster than humans, and 1,000,000x is conceivable given the hardware speed difference.
Sam Harris (philosopher, neuroscientist) adds that one week of productivity to us equals 20,000 years of productivity to an AI simply due to how much faster it can process than our brains can.
We need to fundamentally change how we learn
Our education system hasn't meaningfully changed in 100 years. Teachers monologue lessons to a room of students and then test their ability to regurgitate what they learned.
Our whole education system is fundamentally flawed and not built for today’s world—let alone the future. To adapt to what will be unimaginable change, we need to rethink education from first principles.
We haven’t yet culturally accepted that everyone should be deliberate and diligent about learning throughout their entire life. We, as a culture, broadly speaking, are still mostly in a college paradigm that in the best-case scenario, we get formal schooling, get good grades, pay a ton of money to go to a good college, and then don’t need to go to school again or be diligent with learning throughout our lives.A rapidly changing world calls for new skills we aren’t teaching. At a fundamental level, we need to help people become super-adapters. This may mean everything from teaching people learning how to learn, to teaching everyone emotional regulation skills...There is very little attention and imagination put toward how to use ChatGPT to drastically increase human intelligence and performance. In every other field already transformed by AI (e.g., chess), the top performers use AI as a core part of their training.
The only sustainable advantage is to learn faster. Both for ourselves personally, and for our organizations.
Learning how to learn as effectively as possible. Defending half our time for learning. Learning micro lessons that we can cement into our capabilities by implementing them right away. Building the confidence and skill to learn drastically different skills beyond our comfort zone to be able to reinvent ourselves.
At one point everyone worked at one company their whole life. Then it was the norm to work at many companies, but stay in the same career and type of job. Soon, it will be common to pivot to multiple careers throughout someone's life.
A copywriter might start their career creating text for ads. Then need to re-tool to learn how to do analytics to manage the data and operations of thousands of versions of ads that are created at scale with AI. Then need to need to re-tool again to learn about human empathy and uncovering people's deepest needs as the analytics is automated.
TechMBA.ai is designed to help you learn for our AI world
I do, we do, you do is one of the most effective frameworks to help people learn something new. First, watch me as "I do" the thing and model what great looks like in a tangible best-in-class way. Then "we do" it together where you try to implement what you learn with my help, support, and coaching to tweak your approach. Then "you do" it on your own, truly cementing your capability to do this new thing.
The TechMBA.ai is designed to help teach you in this way. It breaks down how to think, shows examples, connects you to coaching sessions to get feedback, places you in a peer community that gives feedback and show alternate ways to approach things, and then supports you as you implement everything you've learned.
We've incorporated many AI tools into the program to help you learn faster the way that professional chess players use AI chess algorithms as part of their training process.
Warren Buffet says the best investment is the investment in yourself. Your learning, your skills, and your knowledge. Our vision is to be your co-pilot in learning how to use AI tools as effortlessly as you use your smartphone to thrive at work.
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